Climate Intelligence & Parametric Trigger Engine
Real-time climate monitoring for 250 enrolled farmers across 23 villages — Kamwenge District, Uganda | CHIRPS v3 Architecture | ERA5 + GEFS + NASA GIBS
CHIRPS v3
ERA5 Reanalysis
NASA GIBS MODIS
GEFS 15-Day
1Current Conditions
2Historical Anomaly
315-Day Forecast
4Exposure Assessment
5Trigger Progress
6Early Warning
7Trigger Verification
8Claim Readiness
1
Current Conditions — Kamwenge District, Uganda
Today's Rainfall
--
mm/day
30-Day Total
--
mm total
Max Temperature
--
°C today
Dry Streak
--
consecutive dry days
Water Stress (ET₀/P)
--
7-day ratio
Trigger Status
MONITORING
0% of drought threshold
7
Satellite Intelligence Map
Independent trigger verification — 0.1856°N, 30.4567°E — Esri World Imagery + NASA GIBS MODIS
Sources: Esri World Imagery • NASA GIBS MODIS Terra • OSM contributors
5
Parametric Trigger Engine
Automated trigger monitoring — no subjective loss assessment required
☂ Drought Trigger
-- / 21 days
Fires when rainfall <60% of 20-yr normal for 21+ consecutive days
0d⚠ Alert: 14dTRIGGER: 21d
🌧 Flood/Excess Rain Trigger
-- / 7 days
Fires when rainfall >250% of 20-yr normal for 7+ consecutive days
0d⚠ Alert: 4dTRIGGER: 7d
🌿 Crop Stress Index
--
Water-balance deficit proxy — 0% = well-watered, 100% = severe stress
Basis Risk Monitor
NDVI Anomaly
--
Rain Anomaly
--
Index Divergence
--
Computing basis risk…
LAST TRIGGER EVENT (PILOT RECORD)
Drought — Season B 2025 (May 2025)
83 farmers · automatic payouts · avg 31 hrs · UGX 6,500/acre · 0 disputes
2
45-Day Historical Rainfall & 15-Day GEFS Forecast vs 20-Year Baseline
Open-Meteo ERA5 actual data | GEFS ensemble forecast | Kamwenge 20-yr monthly normals | Parametric trigger thresholds overlaid
Actual Rainfall
GEFS Forecast
Monthly Normal
Drought Threshold (60%)
Flood Threshold (250%)
Temperature Trend
Max / Min °C — last 45 days (ERA5)
Evapotranspiration (ET₀)
mm/day vs rainfall — FAO Penman-Monteith (ERA5)
Soil Water Balance
Cumulative P−ET₀ anomaly proxy
3
15-Day Outlook — GEFS Ensemble Forecast
Daily forecast — Kamwenge District | Risk tier derived from parametric trigger thresholds
4
Farmer Exposure Assessment
Village-level risk stratification — 250 enrolled farmers · 23 Kamwenge villages
| Village | Farmers | Acres | Risk Tier | Payout Ready |
|---|
Loading…
8
Claim Readiness Status
Real-time readiness for automatic parametric payout processing
Satellite Data Feed LIVE
Open-Meteo ERA5
Trigger Algorithm CALIBRATED
v2.1 Kamwenge
Farmer Registry 250 ENROLLED
23 villages
Payout Channel MOBILE MONEY READY
MTN/Airtel UG
Independent Verification NASA GIBS LIVE
MODIS Terra
Parametric Trigger MONITORING
0% threshold
Regulatory Compliance IRA SANDBOX
Uganda IRA
Target Payout SLA 48 HOURS
Pilot avg: 31 hrs
SYSTEM ARMED — MONITORING
Trigger threshold not met. Continuous monitoring active. Last sync: --
📅 Dry-Spell Calendar Monitor
Last 45 days — day-by-day rainfall <1mm threshold detection
Heavy (>10mm)
Rain (1–10mm)
Dry (<1mm)
Dry streak >7d
Computing…
6
Early Warning Intelligence
AI-assisted alerts based on parametric trigger progress and GEFS forecast trends
Loading early warning assessment…